Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 89.066324 99.313094 109.770653 121.211441 133.345986 145.804374 159.533596
2025-02-09 72.147589 86.802623 102.409821 120.146275 139.625712 160.258844 183.658265
2025-02-16 61.523285 78.501349 97.172047 118.978912 143.513066 170.046593 200.699886
2025-02-23 54.593010 73.358632 94.573917 119.923722 149.004100 180.972864 218.434584
2025-03-02 48.399156 68.360527 91.525324 119.787944 152.777203 189.564284 233.200856
2025-03-09 43.660431 64.617917 89.530887 120.498509 157.197015 198.623713 248.271431
2025-03-16 38.595495 60.021002 86.135761 119.215360 159.008866 204.466392 259.484125
2025-03-23 35.600828 57.780541 85.394459 120.922462 164.183433 214.072437 274.923670
2025-03-30 33.104722 55.973115 85.019771 122.931569 169.605565 223.888119 290.553790
2025-04-06 29.702800 52.682048 82.548750 122.164529 171.531780 229.478476 301.172034
2025-04-13 25.931532 48.580584 78.788034 119.568111 171.051770 232.074500 308.159347
2025-04-20 24.980540 48.403430 80.135385 123.423078 178.488739 244.124810 326.323659
2025-04-27 23.629636 47.574777 80.588394 126.145623 184.579007 254.652702 342.825050
2025-05-04 21.046120 44.709426 78.131851 124.973218 185.715563 259.139833 352.098731
2025-05-11 18.710688 42.022760 75.766829 123.790153 186.733198 263.402067 361.040355
2025-05-18 17.241636 40.585238 75.068197 124.755923 190.436407 270.923706 373.896579
2025-05-25 15.581670 38.691321 73.611886 124.617161 192.659556 276.579583 384.467769
2025-06-01 14.299133 37.320414 72.836559 125.344867 195.960621 283.545741 396.622290
2025-06-08 12.606011 35.072435 70.647202 124.030658 196.528123 287.054717 404.517121
2025-06-15 11.793090 34.334649 70.681484 125.779063 201.097253 295.568861 418.558145
2025-06-22 11.109648 33.776538 70.952631 127.836487 206.063928 304.584467 433.230090
2025-06-29 9.861244 32.010915 69.266513 127.051037 207.203310 308.734064 441.874312
2025-07-06 8.355304 29.545351 66.346738 124.391962 205.752046 309.533320 446.316833